The first three games of this series have had an average of 211 points per game with the Under going 2-0-1. I'm expecting a similar performance in what could be the last game of the series.

The spread has moved five points in Houston's direction since the opening line after escaping with a three-point Rockets home victory. But Utah is a tough place to win -- this is just the third time the Jazz will be a home underdog, both when Golden State came to town, and Utah covered in both. Houston got little scoring from James Harden and still won Game 3, but my projections like the Jazz playing to the final possession and covering.