The Cavs can still score; their slump has been due to an inability to stop anyone -- OKC scored 148 on the Cavs Saturday. The Spurs' top-ranked defense is still great without Kawhi Leonard, but this is too low a number for a Cleveland team that still features the fifth-best offense (and fifth-worst defense). The Over is hitting in 61 percent of my simulations.

The Spurs won't have Pau Gasol, Manu Ginobili or Kawhi Leonard, but they're still the right side against the dysfunctional Cavs, who have covered one of their last 11 road games. Play the home dog.

This is a bet against the Cavaliers, who are free falling. The Cavaliers are 2-6 straight-up in their last eight games, with both wins coming against the lowly Magic by a combined five points.They are also 1-13 ATS their last 14 games. Kevin Love was called out for leaving the OKC game early and missing practice due to illness. Wow there are big problems in C-Town. San Antonio is without Kawhi Leonard but the Spurs have already played most of the year without him so the dropoff isn't as big. Back the Spurs.