Let's try this again. My simulations have the Cavs favored by one point, providing a clear play on Cleveland at +3.5 on their home court. The role players for the Cavs should play much better in front of the home fans in a for comfortable environment. Let's also remember that the NBA is still an entertainment product. Expect a friendly whistle for LeBron and the Cavs as guaranteeing at least a fifth game has significant financial implications for everyone involved.

In LeBron, I trust. He's not going down like this and he's going to get his squad on the board collectively, just like last season in same situation, and mount the comeback. Yes, the Warriors have covered their last 11 road games, but none of those situations had The King down 0-2 at home. The Cavs are the play Wednesday in Game 3 of the NBA Finals.

This is a great price on LeBron James and the Cavs. With the King down 0-2 and at home, I'm playing Cleveland with the points and on the money line. Cavs make this a series.

The Warriors look unbeatable, and they're definitely winning this series. But things change when a series shifts cities. Cleveland's season is on the line Wednesday. The Cavs will have had three days to recover mentally from the trouncing they received at Oracle. I'm expecting the Cavs' best defensive effort yet, big contributions from Kyle Korver and Tristan Thompson, and the first close game of the Finals. Grab the points.

If the Cleveland Cavaliers are ever going to be competitive in the Finals, it will happen Wednesday at home. I'm projecting a down-to-the-wire game, which is why I'm taking the points with desperate Cavs.