Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
Heading back home, the Raptors have a chance to regain control of the series. While their offense remains an issue, they've found a way to get stickier on defense. Limiting the Bucks further figures to be in the cards as the Raptors have been a juggernaut at home. That's created value tonight, since bettors saw the Bucks upset the Raptors in Game 1 and also cover Game 2. Grab the Raptors to showcase a two-year home ATS advantage that they don't get enough credit for.
Time for another moneyline value bet with Milwaukee +205. The Raptors should be favored on their home floor, but the Bucks certainly win this game more than 33 percent of the time. I have the Bucks winning 41 percent of simulations making them a strong value on the moneyline.
Despite the Bucks turning this series into an ugly-fest, I'm enjoying it much more than I thought. They way Jason Kidd has his defense being able to put Toronto on the ropes has been impressive. However, 21 turnovers and 37 percent shooting for Milwaukee in Game 4 isn't going to win many games. I'm expecting Kidd to go back to the well once again with the same formula and keep this game Under, like five of the past six meetings with Toronto have gone.
I see Milwaukee and Jason Kidd adjusting better to Toronto's small lineup. And Khris Middleton and Giannis Antetokounmpo shooting immensely better. Grab the points.