Typically, a veteran-laden team in a mismatched series will prevail in a big way for one moment in a series. We saw that from the Grizzlies over the Spurs two nights ago. For Saturday, expect more of what we saw in Games 1 and 2 from the Spurs with much better defense. Back the road favorite.

The Spurs gave a lackadaisical effort in Game 3 and paid for it against an inspired Memphis club on its home court. Historically, Gregg Popovich-coached teams have been solid in bounce-back spots like these as they rarely produce two consecutive clunkers in the postseason. San Antonio should be motivated to re-establish control of this series and not allow the Grizzlies the confidence that would come with tying it up at two games each. Look for the Spurs to pull away and cover.