Not having a prime backup point guard and frontcourt depth is starting to cause issues for the Wizards. John Wall has had 15 turnovers in two games since the All-Star break, including nine in the Wizards' loss to the Jazz. After a marginal road win by the Warriors last night in Philadelphia, this may seem like a spot to back a Wizards team that's strong at home. Instead, grab the Warriors to hit another gear and cover.

The Warriors offer great value at -6 tonight in Washington. My simulations have the Warriors as -11 favorites under normal conditions and -9.5 tonight on the back-to-back. My major concern with the Wizards is the lack of depth in the 2nd unit. This could remain close for a while, but the Warriors will pull away behind a big performance from Kevin Durant.