The Celtics are really going to miss Avery Bradley's athleticism as they try to stop Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan. Marcus Smart has played well with Bradley out, but I don't think he can guard DeRozan without picking up cheap fouls. I'm laying the points with my simulations showing the Raptors winning by seven on their home floor.

Avery Bradley is out tonight for the Celtics, and I look for Toronto to play with urgency after its recent slide. Back the home favorites.

This is a huge game for the host Raptors, as they've dropped five of seven and lead the streaking Celtics by only one game for second place in the East. Toronto beat Boston by seven on the road a month ago and has covered four of the past five meetings. In my simulations, the Raptors are covering Tuesday's game 61 percent of the time. Lay the points.