Simulation Picks

SPREAD

TB @ BOS

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MONEYLINE

TB @ BOS

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OVER / UNDER

TB @ BOS

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PUBLIC

MONEY

PUBLIC

MONEY

Over0%

PUBLIC

Under0%

Over

MONEY

Under

Understanding

Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineBoston -205

WIN

Unit1.0

Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess

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+1550

47-29-1 in Last 77 MLB Picks

+300

24-19 in Last 43 MLB ML Picks

+599

6-1 in Last 7 BOS ML Picks

Tom's Analysis:

David Price is squaring off against the team that drafted him, and it ought to be a happy reunion because Price has dominated the Rays since leaving Tampa. He's held Rays hitters to an OPS of .476 and a wOBA of .194.

Pick Made: Aug 18, 5:00 pm UTC

Point SpreadBoston -1.5 -110

WIN

Unit1.0

Mike McClure

Money Mike

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+345

3-1 in Last 4 MLB ATS Picks

+670

7-2 in Last 9 BOS ATS Picks

Mike's Analysis:

The wOBA model likes the value on the Red Sox runline at -1.5 (-110) as they are covering that number in a ridiculous 59 percent of simulations. Tyler Glasnow isn't a horrible pitcher, but the move to the American League at Fenway is something he's not used to dealing with. The Red Sox are 43-15 at home so far and it will be 44-15 after this game. Lay it.

Pick Made: Aug 18, 2:20 pm UTC