There's excellent value on the Braves in this game if you're more interested in betting the line, but I think the best value is on the total. Both Julio Teheran and Jon Gray have performed well against their opponents tonight, and with a slight wind blowing in, that should only make life more difficult on the offenses. Take the Under 8.5.

Rockies starter Jon Gray has been sensational in four of his last five starts since returning from the minors. Opponents are batting just .178 versus Gray over his last 28 innings. Braves starter Julio Teheran has been average for the past two years. The value Thursday is on the Rockies.

The trusty projection model sees about 10 runs crossing the plate Thursday between the Rockies and Braves, giving us a strong position on the Over against a total of 8.5. Atlanta is on a 6-2 run to the Over at home, while Colorado has played Over at an 8-2 clip versus NL East opponents.