Reds starter Robert Stephenson has poor control and will struggle with the Cleveland's strong left-handed hitters Wednesday. Indians starter Shane Bieber has been good, but has just average stuff at this point in his MLB career. The Reds' lineup is underrated and should get to Bieber. Back the Over.

I'm backing the Indians again tonight as they continue to take advantage of the nice park shift in Cincinnati. Losing the DH doesn't really this offense nearly as much as it helps Shane Bieber on the mound. The wOBA model is recommending a play on the run line at -1.5 (-105) as the Indians are covering a massive 55 percent of run line simulations. Robert Stephenson should be in for a rough start, and the Cleveland bullpen should continue to excel in run prevention.