The Rockies are just 1-4 in Jon Gray's last 5 starts. Meanwhile, the Cubs have scored eight or more runs in two of their last three outings. Add an in-form Anthony Rizzo back into Chicago's explosive lineup, and I like Chicago against Jon Gray (6.23 ERA) and the Rockies.

The Cubs lineup has just started to hit and the weather has been cold. Denver may be cold as well but the ball carries much better than in Chicago with the wind blowing straight in from center field. Anthony Rizzo is back and had a big game to solidify the lineup. I have the Cubs' Kyle Hendricks rated as the 14th-best pitcher in baseball. I have him 50 cents better than the average guy on the road. Colorado's Jonathan Gray is 40 cents better than the average guy at home. Chicago's hitters will be looking forward to Coors and the Cubs have the pitching advantage as well.