The Yankees have been amazing behind CC Sabathia this season, going 21-9 and he crushed the Astros at Yankee Stadium, 8-1, against Charlie Morton. However, Houston is just too good at home and the Yankees aren't even a .500 team on the road. Houston went 53-33 at home this season, and it's in that comfort that beats any pitching edge New York may have Saturday.

My projections see the Yankees winning Game 7 of the ALCS nearly two-thirds of the time Saturday against the Astros, providing massive value on the home underdog. This lines up a solid spot in which to back New York starter CC Sabathia, who shut down Houston with six scoreless innings in winning his other start in this series.