The Reds have won only twice in their last 17 visits to Cleveland, but the best value in tonight's hook-up is the game staying Under the total. Cincinnati has gone 16-5-1 to the Under in its last 22 games and Cleveland is the best Under team in baseball, cashing at a 60 percent rate (55-36-5). Perhaps the biggest reason to support a low-scoring game is that the wind is blowing in from left-center at 15 mph. Go Under.

Let's lay -130 with the Reds on the run line Monday night, as they're covering in 65 percent of my simulations. Play on Cincy plus 1.5 runs.