The SportsLine simulation model has Seattle beating New York nearly 60 percent of the time behind Ariel Miranda when they meet Saturday night. Grab the plus-money value side on the home-standing Mariners.

Mariners starter Ariel Miranda has given up 11 runs over his last two starts, but I don't expect too many Saturday against the Yankees. The Yankees have won five of their last eight, but all have stayed Under the total. Seattle has stayed Under in its last four and faces Masahiro Tanaka, who is 5-0 lifetime against Seattle with a 1.95 ERA. Under is the top play Saturday.