The Padres rank last in the league in OPS vs. lefties, so Jaime Garcia is set up to have a nice start tonight after consecutive rough outings. The Braves' solid offense should be able to score some runs on Dinelson Lamet, who has a 6.60 ERA in six starts. Even if he performs well, the Padres' splits against lefties make me think the Braves will win a low-scoring game.

My numbers say the Braves will get the best of the Padres nearly 62 percent of the time in their Thursday meeting, providing a strong play on the road team at a meager price. The Braves have won seven of their last eight against right-handed starters, while the Padres are on a 2-10 run against lefty starters.