Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
The Dodgers have won seven straight and 13 of their last 14. They've also won eight straight games played on Friday. They're the hottest team in baseball and they're starting Alex Wood, who has won his last seven outings. The Rockies have lost two straight, but have won five of nine against the Dodgers. The Dodgers are red-hot, but the price is 30 cents too high. Call it a popularity tax by the oddsmakers, who keep losing while the Dodgers winning.
Alex Wood as a -220 favorite against one of the best records in baseball is laughable. Sure, the Dodgers might be the best team in baseball, but the Rockies aren't far behind. Kyle Freeland has been under-valued all season and now he gets to pitch in a very friendly environment at Dodger Stadium. My simulations have the Rockies winning 39 percent of simulations making them one of the best betting values of the season at +190.
The Rockies are 6-1 in Kyle Freeland's last seven road starts, and they're offering huge value Friday night as +178 underdogs at Dodger Stadium. Colorado is winning 49 percent of my simulations. That's more than enough to justify a play on the road dog.