I think several times I've written that Adam Wainwright is just a shell of his former self. He has surprise me with 2 solid starts at home but I guess when you were great at one point that you can still come up with a great start. For the record he Remember the movie For the Love of the Game! I'm going to respect Wainwright when he pitches at home but going against him hard on the road. And there is no better place to go against him than Colorado. 2016 Away stats: 94 2/3 innings - 6.18 ERA. 2017 Away stats: 19 innings, 31 hits, 7.11 ERA. The 24 year old Kyle Freeland has been very lucky. His xFIP is 4.58 and I expect the more film hitters get on Freeland the higher the ERA will get. Freeland will be solid in 2018 and beyond.

The Rockies have been a cash cow for bettors this year, and that should continue today with this incredibly low line. The Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 and their last four wins have all been by at least five runs. Plus, the Rockies are 7-2 in Kyle Freeland's starts this year. The Cardinals have dropped seven of their last nine, and they're 9-16 against teams that are .500 or better.

My data loves the Rockies against the Cardinals on Saturday, with a projected win rate of 77 percent and a margin of two runs. Colorado is 6-1 in the last seven starts by Kyle Freeland and 8-3 in its last 11 against winning opponents. St. Louis has lost five of six road games against winning teams.