Two veteran pitchers that are having difficulty this season have been Matt Cain and Jaime Garcia. Cain is coming off another disastrous performance, allowing nine hits and seven earned runs to the Cardinals. Yet Cain's stout home performances have led to the Giants being favored today. Thus far in four home games, he has allowed just four earned runs in nearly 18 innings of work. Bettors are fading Atlanta off their home loss to the Pirates yesterday. Instead, grab the prime value here with Atlanta.

Matt Cain's overall numbers aren't pretty, but at home he's been dominant, going 3-0 with a 1.19 ERA in four starts. I'm on San Francisco, which has been much better at home (11-10) than on the road (9-19) this season.

Atlanta's Jaime Garcia is coming off a sterling start as he prepares to battles the Giants on Friday night. With Matt Cain having been roughed up this month, I'll back the Braves at -103. They're winning 59 percent of my simulations.