Sometimes a pitcher's return can be messed up by facing the wrong opponent. The Brewers' Junior Guerra will face a major challenge in his first start since April 3. This is a spot to buy the momentum team once more before the weekend value erodes. Quietly, the Diamondbacks have won 12 of 15. Play on Arizona.

No time for a writeup, but I'm on the Diamondbacks yet again.

The Brewers are winning 67 percent of my simulations Friday night against visiting Arizona, making Milwaukee a no-brainer play at -108. With Junior Guerra on the mound, the Brewers are 8-1 in their last nine games following a loss.