The Red Sox offense is on quite a run, scoring nine runs or more in three straight games. Texas starter Nick Martinez has been homer prone this year and doesn't strike out many batters, so expect the Red Sox hitters to tee him up in this one. Red Sox starter Drew Pomeranz has had an issue working deep in games, so the Rangers offense should get their chance to beat up on the Red Sox bullpen. These two teams score 4.8 runs per game on average, and the situation seems ripe for both to top that here.

Rangers starter Nick Martinez is coming off his best start of the year, throwing five shutout innings in Detroit. However, he has been below average in his other road starts and I have him rated as a below-average pitcher on the road. Drew Pomeranz of Boston has been unable to complete five innings in his last three starts. Both lineups have seen an uptick in production -- let’s play the Over on Thursday.

My projections suggest the Red Sox and Rangers should score about 11 runs Thursday, giving us an advantage position on the Over against a total of 9. The Over has hit in six straight Boston home games, and the Red Sox are on an overall streak of 14-3 to the Over. Texas has played Over in four of the past five starts by Nick Martinez.