The Marlins have done a lot of losing lately and Alex Wood has pitched well, so this line isn't all that surprising. But here's the thing; the Marlins are fourth in the league in OPS vs. lefties, while the Dodgers are much better against righties than lefties. So even though Justin Nicolino isn't anyone's idea of an ace, the splits favor him to have a solid showing and keep this one close. This matchup is way closer to a tossup than the odds indicate, so I'll jump on this value and cross my fingers.

The Marlins are huge underdogs in LA on Friday night. After all, Miami has lost 18 of its past 22 games and is facing red-hot Alex Wood. But Marlins starter Justin Nicolino is no slouch -- he allowed one run over six innings vs. the Braves last time out -- and Miami is covering this run line in 69 percent of my simulations. Take the Marlins plus 1.5 runs at -105.