Sweating the Under at Coors Field is never fun, but the wOBA model has issues a play on the Under 10.5 total runs.

Sometimes, seeing a star pitcher look vulnerable the night prior increases value against a team. On Friday, Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw wasn't his typical self, as he allowed seven hits to the Rockies. Still, this is a Rockies team that's overachieving with their pitching to start the season, and they are starting to regress. Grab the Dodgers on Saturday as road favorites.

I'll take Rockies starter Tyler Anderson with a plus-money payback Saturday. Anderson was fantastic last year in his rookie season. And has had some misfortune this year. Anderson strikes out close to a man an inning, while walking just a small fraction above two. This guy has great stuff and is coming off his best start of the season. Back him Saturday against the Dodgers.