Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
The Orioles have lost the first two games of this series to take their road record to 9-9. They're 13-3 at home. The Royals average just 2.8 runs a game at home where they have gone 14-4 to the Under. It's funny, they're average home score is 2.8 to 2.9. One of my favorite Under pitchers is on the mound Saturday with Chris Tillman. The Orioles won 22 of his 30 starts last season, and 16 of those stayed Under. Under is the top play.
On Friday, the Royals took Game 1 of their series against the Orioles in their typical low-scoring fashion, 3-2. On Saturday, they likely will need more run support against the Orioles as Nathan Karns takes the mound, opposed by Chris Tillman of Baltimore. Karns has been stellar his last two starts, and is getting the low price here based on the Royals’ record of 14-21. Grab the value here on the Royals.
My numbers show the Orioles winning their matchup Saturday with the Royals about 60 percent of the time, making them the clear choice with the flat price on both sides. Baltimore is 7-2 in Chris Tillman’s last nine road starts and 6-1 when he pitches against AL Central opponents. The Royals are just 5-11 against right-handed starters.