Value continues to wane for the Blue Jays as their record stands at 6-16. Luckily, on the mound Friday is ace Marcus Stroman, who has two of their wins. It would seem a great spot for the Blue Jays against the Rays and struggling starter Blake Snell. Although Snell is still having issues each outing, he seems to be far ahead of last year's starts. Look for the veteran Rays to seize the moment against fragile Toronto.

The Rays have won five of their last six meetings with Toronto, and they're offering value at +130 on Friday. In my simulations, Tampa Bay is winning 52 percent of the time behind Blake Snell, who's pitched a lot better than his record. Play the Rays.