Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Mike Leake has been dynamite through three starts, with 14 strikeouts, one walk and a 0.84 ERA. Play the Redbirds in Milwaukee.
The wOBA model has the Cardinals winning 56 percent of simulations for a projected line of -127. Aledmys Diaz was given the day off Saturday so he should return to the lineup for the series finale. The Brewers have played at full strength each of the last two games so this is a prime spot for rest for a guy like Ryan Braun, who frequently rests on weekend day games. The Brewers have played well to start the season, but the Cardinals are a better team and offer value at -112.
The Brewers are 7-17 in Jimmy Nelson's last 24 starts entering Sunday's home game versus the Cardinals, who will start Mike Leake (2-1, 0.84 ERA). The Cardinals are winning 59 percent of my simulations. Back St. Louis.