Mets starter Jacob DeGrom is dealing with health issues that got his start pushed back to today, so even though he's been excellent this season, he could be in for a bumpy ride today. Gio Gonzalez won't have to face a couple key batters who are out of the lineup, and he's had success against the ones who remain (the 3-6 hitters are 17 for 94 against him in their careers).

Gio Gonzalez catches a major break this afternoon as the Mets are without their two best hitters against left-handed pitching. Losing Yoenis Cespedes and Wilmer Flores is a major hit for the Mets value against southpaws. I have the Nationals winning 56 percent of simulations against Jacob deGrom who had his start pushed back due to a neck injury. Take the Nationals as road dogs.