Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
Rays starter Chris Archer has extreme home/road splits. At home he has a 2.61 ERA and on the road it's 5.97. At home he's holding opposing batters to a .210 average. On the road, it spikes to .278 with 14 homers allowed. Tampa Bay needs a long outing from Archer on Sunday in Houston, because the Rays used up their bullpen Saturday. With Astros starter Doug Fister coming off his most impressive outing this season, I'll back Houston to complete the sweep Sunday and stay within striking distance of a Wild Card spot.
Chris Archer (7-17, 4.11 ERA) has been abysmal on the road for the Rays this season, going 4-8 with a 5.97 ERA. The Vegas odds still give them a 48% chance of winning, which is way too high according to my simulations that have their chances at only 35%. On the flip side, I have the Astros at 65% to win, making the line well worth taking a shot with that price.