Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Expert Picks
With Ivan Nova facing Chase Anderson at Miller Park, the wOBA model is looking to cash in on the Pirates for a third consecutive day. Nova is used to throwing in poor pitching environments so he doesn't take much of a hit with the park shift. Nova has struggled with lefties at times, but overall is a pretty average pitcher who should improve with the move to the National League. Anderson has extreme reverse splits, allowing a .403 wOBA to right-handed hitters which includes a 2.17 HR/9 rate. Once again the Pirates' combination of speed and power gives them a nice edge in the model. This line should be -148, according to my simulations.
The Pirates have not lost a game that Ivan Nova (10-6, 4.55 ERA) has pitched for them since acquiring the righty from the Yankees. They are a perfect 4-0 in his starts, and Sunday's outing at Milwaukee should put him in perfect position for another win. My simulations have Pittsburgh winning 62% of the time, which is much better than the Vegas odds at 53%.