It's Jose Day in Miami, as Jose Fernandez faces Dillon Gee for the Royals. The wOBA model likes the value on the Royals as massive underdogs at +195. Fernandez hasn't been sharp over the last month of the season, and he faces the hottest team in baseball tonight with an unfavorable umpire situation. The knock on Fernandez right how is his command and elevated pitch count at times, and I'm projecting him to struggle with walks tonight with James Hoye behind home. Hoye is 10-5-1 for 66.7 percent toward the Over with a ridiculous 8.6 walks per game average. Gee should benefit from a watered down Marlins lineup in a National League park, where he will face a pitcher at the plate. The value is definitely on the Royals at +195.