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Damian's picks


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Damian's picks
-
Reputation:90
Level:All-Star
Since:Jan 14, 2008

April 16, 2008 1:49 pm

Hey guys,

I went 4-2 yesterday for a profit of +195.  I am now 6-10 overall for a net loss of -586 (or 5.86 units.  That was a typical day for me and I expect to have many more days like that going forward.  Today I have a huge card as I have 9 plays.  I will get some days like this because I can't control how many picks I have.  Whatever my system picks I have to play.  So here we go:

4/16

ARI -175  (175 to win 100)

HOU +105 (100 to win 105)

WAS +170  (100 to win 170)

CUB -200  (200 to win 100)

SDG -136  (136 to win 100)

NYY -155  (155 to win 100)

TAM -116  (116 to win 100)

LAA -155  (155 to win 100)

OAK -105  (105 to win 100)

I know this a lot of plays to get down on, but you might be able to hold off on the later games until we cash some of the earlier games.  There is also a day game with the D'backs that has a good chance of cashing.


Damian's picks
-
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Dec 11, 2006

April 16, 2008 3:30 pm
Just for some clarification, when you post "NYY -155  (155 to win 100)", what exactly am I looking at?  Thanks.

Damian's picks
-
Reputation:90
Level:All-Star
Since:Jan 14, 2008

April 16, 2008 3:52 pm

That means that I have a bet on the Yankees.  The line on the yankees tonight is -155.  That means that you have to risk  $155 to win $100.  In other words, the yankees are favorites tonight.

I am using $100 per unit to keep my record.  Ex:  If you were a $50 bettor (50 per unit), you would risk 77.50 to win $50.  If you were a $25 bettor (25 per unit) , you would risk $38.75 to win $25 etc.  

The line is -155 so you multiply 1.55 times the amount you are using per unit to get your risk amount.  If the line was -175 you would multiply 1.75 times your unit amount to get your risk amount.  When the picks are underdogs always bet your unit amount no matter what the line is.   And always use the same unit amount for every bet.


Damian's picks
-
Reputation:90
Level:All-Star
Since:Jan 14, 2008

April 16, 2008 4:01 pm
I have made over 100 units in each of the last 4 seasons and in my best season I made over 200 units.  If I made 100 units this season, a $100 bettor would make a profit of $10,000 for the season.  But don't take my word for it, just track my plays for a while and see how I do.