I took the 50-75 range. There are several things that could stop him from winning.
Weather Conditions-if it fast and dry like last year then the scores will be high, that is a great leveling affect. if it is slow and wet, then the course will be low scoring and that probably advantages Tiger Woods.
Competitors-Vijay Singh won the last time he and Woods competed against one another. Some say Oglivy is playing well this year, Mickleson has not played well at all this year, but he could still get hot. Any player could get hot, play out of his mind and beat woods; like Zach Johnson did last year (what did he do the rest of the year, nothing)
I think woods will win though because he lost the last time he played and he is going to be burning up over that, particularly since he lost that tournament, someone did not play ridiculously good he simply play poorer than the other guys after he had the lead (but he still only lost by two strokes).
He is playing some of the best golf that we have seen this decade and there seems to be no won who is consistently challenging him.
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