A vast majority of OTAs are in the books, and, with few exceptions, most key NFL roster moves have been made.
With training camp starting next month, we simulated every game of the NFL season 10,000 times with our SportsLine Projection Mode. Here are each team's playoff chances:
Arizona Cardinals ? 48.6 percent
The Cardinals benefit from playing in the same division as the 49ers and Rams - they need to pick up four wins right there. How much does Carson Palmer have left? He accounted for 20 TDs and 21 turnovers last year.
Atlanta Falcons ? 61.5 percent
This might feel low for a team that came within a play of becoming Super Bowl champ. But the NFC South will be tough top to bottom, and the Falcons must be more consistent on defense.
Baltimore Ravens ? 52.1 percent
The Ravens have been around .500 since winning the Super Bowl following the 2012 season. Our projections point to another mediocre year that has them on the playoff bubble. The recent addition of Jeremy Maclin gives Joe Flacco more to work with.
Buffalo Bills ? 16.8 percent
The AFC East doesn't feel within reach, so a wild card spot (also a long shot) is the path the Bills will need to take to the postseason. They haven't made the playoffs since 1999!
Carolina Panthers ? 45.9 percent
The Panthers went from first to worst in the NFC South from 2015 to 2016. This should be a bounceback year, but the division is loaded with legitimate playoff contenders.
Chicago Bears ? 1.5 percent
Mike Glennon is the present at quarterback, Mitchell Trubisky is the future. Neither is good enough right now to improve the Bears from 3-13 to playoff contention.
Cincinnati Bengals ? 54.1 percent
Key injuries slowed Cincinnati's attack in 2016. The Bengals added offensive help in the draft, giving them the firepower they'll need in what could be a make-or-break year for Marvin Lewis.
Cleveland Browns ? 1.2 percent
Armed with a ton of cap room and a plethora of picks, the Browns clearly got better this offseason, particularly on the offensive line and on defense. There's still no clear-cut answer at quarterback, however, leaving this team at least a year or two away from even thinking postseason.
Dallas Cowboys ? 57.8 percent
Barring huge sophomore slumps, the Cowboys should be great on offense again. What about the defense, though? The Cowboys delivered in the clutch in 2016, but a tough NFC East, and a target on their backs, might make life tougher in 2017.
Denver Broncos ? 36.3 percent
A year removed from a Super Bowl title, the Broncos failed to make the playoffs in 2016. The defense still has teeth, but is the quarterback situation stable enough?
Detroit Lions ? 13.5 percent
A tough early schedule, along with playing in the same division as Aaron Rodgers and the Vikings' elite defense, makes Detroit a long shot. But Jim Caldwell has guided the Lions to the playoffs twice in the past three years, and Matthew Stafford is coming off arguably his best year.
Green Bay Packers ? 86.4 percent
Martellus Bennett gives Rodgers the legitimate threat at tight end he's been lacking. There are some questions at running back and on defense, but it's tough to bet against No. 12 until he gives us reason to.
Houston Texans ? 36.1 percent
The Brock Osweiler experiment was a complete disaster, but the Texans cut bait (costing them a second-rounder in the process) and will turn to Tom Savage or rookie Deshaun Watson. Whoever is under center will have plenty of help on offense plus a stingy defense.
Indianapolis Colts ? 28.0 percent
Hard to believe Andrew Luck has missed the playoffs two straight years. Defense and O-line have been the main culprits. The Colts went all-in on improving the defense via free-agent acquisitions and the draft.
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Jacksonville Jaguars ? 24.5 percent
On paper, the Jaguars have a good enough defense and enough pieces on offense to contend in the AFC South. Blake Bortles, however, is still the quarterback, so everything else might not matter.
Kansas City Chiefs ? 58.2 percent
With four consecutive winning seasons and three playoff appearances during that span, the Chiefs have been one of the NFL's most consistent franchises. The offense will look different without Jamaal Charles and Jeremy Maclin, but there's still enough there for a wild card.
Los Angeles Chargers ? 15.4 percent
A new city likely won't change the results. The Chargers improved on the O-line and at receiver, but the defense didn't get many upgrades after ranking near the bottom last year.
Los Angeles Rams ? 1.6 percent
Sean McVay, the league's youngest coach, inherits one of the NFL's youngest rosters. It's Jared Goff's show at quarterback, and he's a complete wild card at this point. Even if he exceeds expectations, there isn't enough around him to take the Rams seriously yet.
Miami Dolphins ? 13.9 percent
Competing in the AFC East likely relegates the Dolphins to playing for a wild card, but they showed in 2016 that they can make it to the postseason that way. Ryan Tannehill is good enough to give them a chance, but inconsistent enough to make Dolphins fans nervous.
Minnesota Vikings ? 41.9 percent
The defense remains loaded, and Sam Bradford should do better in his second year in Minnesota. He'll play behind a much stouter O-line.
New England Patriots ? 97.8 percent
The Pats defeated the Falcons in the Super Bowl, and they've also defeated NFL parity. Bill Belichick has been to the playoffs in all but three seasons since he took over in 2000. New England is as safe a postseason bet as you'll find.
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New Orleans Saints ? 31.1 percent
Entering the final year of his contract, Drew Brees should have enough offensive help to keep the Saints in contention all season. But the defense could cost them a playoff berth, considering New Orleans must face Matt Ryan, Cam Newton and Jameis Winston twice each.
New York Giants ? 37.8 percent
With Brandon Marshall and first-round pick Evan Engram arriving, Eli Manning has one of the best receiving groups in the league. Most pieces are back from a top-10 defense as well. The Cowboys will be the biggest hurdle.
New York Jets ? 4.1 percent
The defense is serviceable, but the offense could be historically bad. With no good options at quarterback, it's tough to give the Jets any kind of chance at the postseason.
Oakland Raiders ? 46.4 percent
Sharing the division with the Chiefs and Broncos cuts into the Raiders' playoff probability, but don't let that distract you from this team's potential. If Derek Carr can bounce back from injury and Marshawn Lynch is anywhere close to his Seattle form, the Raiders can put together another 12-win season.
Philadelphia Eagles ? 37.5 percent
Despite Carson Wentz tailing off late, Philly was pleased with his rookie season. Now he has Alshon Jeffrey and Torrey Smith to throw to. The Eagles' pass rush got more dangerous and their better equipped to compete in the loaded NFC East.
Pittsburgh Steelers ? 72.1 percent
Big Ben says he'll keeping ticking for at least another year. A loaded offensive cast that includes Antonio Brown, Martavis Bryant and Le'Veon Bell should keep the ball moving. Pittsburgh address its defensive issues in the offseason, and that unit shouldn't be a huge liability.
San Francisco 49ers ? 9.9 percent
GM John Lynch made some savvy moves following last year's 2-14 train wreck, but there's still no playoff-caliber quarterback, among other roster holes.
Seattle Seahawks ? 80.0 percent
Despite offseason rumblings about Richard Sherman, the Seahawks held steady and return the nucleus of the team that's made the last five postseasons. They remain the team to beat in the shaky NFC West.
Tampa Bay Bucs ? 15.6 percent
Jameis Winston must be happy. Tampa Bay added receiver DeSean Jackson and tight end O.J. Howard to complement Mike Evans. Protection remains an issue. If the offensive line plays well and the defense continues its strong play from late last season, the Bucs could be a surprise postseason team.
Tennessee Titans ? 42.9 percent
The Titans added firepower through the draft to an already physical offense. The secondary will look different, which is a good thing. Tennessee is a trendy pick to win the AFC South, but the Titans must play better within the division. They've lost 10 straight to Indianapolis and eight of 10 to Houston.
Washington Redskins ? 29.3 percent
Kirk Cousins is back, but with Terrelle Pryor out wide instead of Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson. They made some nice defensive additions, but will that be enough in the brutal NFC East? Don't bet on it.