David Kelly

The Great One

David Kelly is a Toronto-born hockey analyst with multiple advanced degrees. His academic work includes five years of empirical NHL research, including home/visiting team performance and penalty/power play effects on Over/Unders. During the 2017 NHL playoffs, he correctly predicted 39 out of 50 Over/Unders, a stunning win rate of 78 percent. He continues to pursue new and innovative models of in-depth statistical analysis of NHL game outcomes and predictive modeling for peak player performances. For David Kelly media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

37-20-3 LAST 60 NHL PICKS | +1483

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UNDER 5.5UNDER 5.5

Montreal Canadiens 0 vs Ottawa Senators 3
12/16
MON 0 vs OTT 3
12/16
WIN
YESTERDAY 5:29 PM

NHL outdoor games hit the Under nearly 85 percent of the time when the temperature at game time is below 25 degrees Celsius. Saturday night's forecast for Landsdowne Park in Ottawa is a crisp 7 to 9 degress Celsius, with wind chills approaching -12 to -15. I?m suggesting the Under 5.5 play between these scoring-challenged teams.

37-20-3 in last 60 NHL picks | +1483

Montreal Canadiens -125MON -125

Montreal Canadiens 0 vs Ottawa Senators 3
12/16
MON 0 vs OTT 3
12/16
LOSS
YESTERDAY 12:18 PM

Chances are, the Canadiens will bring their best to this ?Hockey Night in Canada? prime-time game Saturday, with Toronto having the night off. Montreal has Carey Price, and that in itself should be worth the play here on the Canadiens as a tenuous favorite on the road.

37-20-3 in last 60 NHL picks | +1483

Washington Capitals -160WAS -160

Anaheim Ducks 2 @ Washington Capitals 3
12/16
ANA 2 @ WAS 3
12/16
WIN
YESTERDAY 12:16 PM

The Capitals should be focused and prepared Saturday against Anaheim. As a bonus, they are offered at a generous price.

37-20-3 in last 60 NHL picks | +1483

Tampa Bay Lightning -190TB -190

Tampa Bay Lightning 6 @ Colorado Avalanche 5
12/16
TB 6 @ COL 5
12/16
WIN
YESTERDAY 12:14 PM

The Lightning are a deserved big favorite and should win Saturday with ease. Lay the price.

37-20-3 in last 60 NHL picks | +1483

Arizona Coyotes +150ARI +150

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 @ Arizona Coyotes 2
12/16
PIT 4 @ ARI 2
12/16
LOSS
YESTERDAY 12:12 PM

The Coyotes are worthy of a look at +155 Saturday against a Penguins team that I have viewed as vulnerable almost all year long. Arizona will play better at home, and should be a live underdog in this game.

37-20-3 in last 60 NHL picks | +1483

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