David Kelly

The Great One

David Kelly is a Toronto-born hockey analyst with multiple advanced degrees. His academic work includes five years of empirical NHL research, including home/visiting team performance and penalty/power play effects on Over/Unders. During the 2017 NHL playoffs, he correctly predicted 39 out of 50 Over/Unders, a stunning win rate of 78 percent. He continues to pursue new and innovative models of in-depth statistical analysis of NHL game outcomes and predictive modeling for peak player performances . For David Kelly media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

21-8 LAST 29 NHL OU PICKS | +1280

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Chicago -140CHI -140

Chicago 4 @ Arizona 2
10/21
CHI 4 @ ARI 2
10/21
WIN
YESTERDAY 7:16 PM

Chicago is desperate for a win after losing to Edmonton 2-1. Arizona has not played well this year; the win-hungry Hawks NEED this win to turn around their fortunes and their superior offense should break out any game now. Take the desperate Hawks at -140.

21-8-0 in last 29 NHL OU picks | +1280

OVER 5.5OVER 5.5

St. Louis 2 @ Vegas 3
10/21
STL 2 @ LV 3
10/21
LOSS
YESTERDAY 11:51 AM

Is there any better ?feel-good? story in the sports world right now than the Las Vegas Golden Knights? Stellar play, excited fans and a competitive style are making fans flock to their bandwagon. However, on Saturday the Knights face a very good St. Louis team, led by Vladimir Tarasenko and Jaden Schwartz. Knights goalie Malcom Subban might be the key to the game, as Tarasenko is on a scoring binge and it will be up to Subban to stop him. I won?t bet against Tarasenko, so take the Over 5.5 and have fun watching this one.

21-8-0 in last 29 NHL OU picks | +1280

OVER 5.5OVER 5.5

Buffalo 5 @ Boston 4
10/21
BUF 5 @ BOS 4
10/21
WIN
YESTERDAY 11:36 AM

Buffalo will wake up one day and surprise bettors with a win, which in this spot, would make Boston at -200 an expensive loss. Last nights game between the Vancouver Canucks and the Sabres was closer than the score would indicate and even if Buffalo doesn?t prevail they will score- but then again so will Boston. The over 5.5 here is one of my favorite plays of this busy Saturday night.

21-8-0 in last 29 NHL OU picks | +1280

OVER 5.5OVER 5.5

Edmonton 1 @ Philadelphia 2
10/21
EDM 1 @ PHI 2
10/21
LOSS
YESTERDAY 11:36 AM

The Oilers are coming off a very gritty performance in Chicago where they prevailed 2-1 over the Black Hawks, who are in disarray right now. In a similarity played game Philadelphia list a close contest to Nashville 1-0 to a Preds team that forced the Flyers to the perimeter of the ice for most of the game. The 5.5 goal line indicates that a decision as to whether a similar style of play is forthcoming from both teams again tonight-the answer is clearly no. Both teams want a track meet tonight and I forecast a combined score over 5.5 in what will prove to be a fun game to view.

21-8-0 in last 29 NHL OU picks | +1280

Nashville -105NSH -105

Nashville 2 @ N.Y. Rangers 4
10/21
NSH 2 @ NYR 4
10/21
LOSS
YESTERDAY 11:35 AM

Those who follow my picks know I seek value in my win propositions and Nashville offers tremendous value in this spot today. The Preds are playing disciplined hockey under coach Peter Laviolette and the Rangers should expect a uptempo contest that favors the speed laden Predator offense. Take Nashville at -105 for the win.

21-8-0 in last 29 NHL OU picks | +1280

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