Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst who has worked in the Nevada sports handicapping industry for more than 16 years. He has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and also has won numerous sports handicapping contests. He specializes in college sports and prides himself on consistency. Last year, he hit a documented 61 percent of his college football picks, 59 percent of NFL selections and 58 percent of college basketball selections for SportsLine. From 2010 to 2014, Nagel picked college football games for the Reno Gazette-Journal, also at a 61 percent accuracy rate. His work also has been featured in USA Today, on Covers.com and Poker News. He is the former managing editor of the Reno-based gaming and entertainment magazine Best Bets. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 29 MLB PICKS
17-12 LAST 29 MLB PICKS | +553
The total between the Orioles and Blue Jays on Saturday appears a bit light, especially considering the recent struggles of both starting pitchers. Toronto?s Mike Bolsinger is 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA, and allowed six runs with eight hits in a loss Monday in Atlanta. Baltimore starter Kevin Gausman has allowed five earned runs in three of his past five starts, and failed to get out of the fourth inning in his last outing against the Royals. The Over should be in good shape Saturday.
17-12-0 in last 29 MLB picks | +553
So far, the slumping Red Sox are nearly a full run per game off last year's torrid offensive pace, averaging just 4.47 runs per game (No. 19 in MLB compared to 5.36 rpg last year). Even so, this is still nearly a half-run more than Oakland (3.95), and Boston looks to have the edge in offense and pitching Saturday with Drew Pomeranz on the mound. This presents a meager play-against price Saturday on Oakland. Let's take advantage of it.
Nathan Karns got off to a shaky start in Kansas City, but he has won his last two decisions and yielded two or fewer runs in each of past three starts. He also has double-figure strikeouts in consecutive outings. Twins starter Hector Santiago allowed six earned runs and three homers in previous outing while failing to make it out of the third inning. Kansas City is winless in five games so far this season against Minnesota, but I'm looking for that streak to end Friday.
The Blue Jays appear to be in a good spot Thursday to avoid a four-game sweep at the hands of the Braves in their interleague series. Atlanta will be without Freddie Freeman after the NL home run leader (14) was hit on the wrist with a pitch Wednesday. Toronto starter Marcus Stroman has been solid in two straight outings following a poor performance at New York, while Braves starter Julio Teheran has suffered three straight home losses while yielding 17 runs in 15 innings.
Rockies rookie German Marquez has alternated strong starts with shaky ones. He is coming off eight shutout innings against the Cubs, but had given up 13 earned runs over 10 innings in two prior home starts. Ervin Santana is off to a great start for the Twins, but I expect him to regress a bit. He allowed six earned runs and four homers the last time he faced a potent lineup, against the Red Sox two starts ago. Both pitchers should be vulnerable, so look for Game 1 on Thursday to go Over the total.
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