Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has worked in the Nevada sports handicapping industry for 17 years. He has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. For insightful analysis, Nagel is unmatched. He specializes in college sports and prides himself on consistency. Last year, he nailed 67 percent of his bowl picks. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 45 MLB PICKS
26-18-1 LAST 45 MLB PICKS | +1213
Pittsburgh has been a major disappointment this year, after losing offensive coordinator Matt Canada to LSU and seeing the departure of several key playmakers. But the Panthers are catching a solid number Saturday against a Duke team that could be in a letdown spot after a hard-fought loss against Florida State last week. The more mobile Ben DiNucci is a better option for Pitt at quarterback than the injured and often ineffective Max Browne. If the Panthers can get some production from their dormant running game, they should compete well here.
22-14-1 in last 37 CFB ATS picks | +652
Last year, an inexperienced Penn State club was humbled by Michigan in a 49-10 loss. The Nittany Lions saw addressed their shortcomings, and have gone 15-1 since, the lone blemish a tight Rose Bowl loss to USC. The roles are reversed Saturday, with Penn State in position for a potential playoff berth with two Heisman candidates, while Michigan vies to remain a Big 10 contender despite massive roster turnover. The Lions are explosive on offense and solid defensively, and I can't see the Wolverines hanging tight for four quarters.
The Aggies have been perplexing and inconsistent. They dominated in a win over rival BYU, but last week collapsed with five turnovers and allowed Wyoming to score the final 12 points in a 28-23 home loss. Utah State appears to be in a good spot Saturday against a UNLV club that is improving but still struggling to close out against respectable opponents. The Rebels could be reeling after they squandered a 27-point lead against Air Force last week. They perform well ATS as an underdog, with a 3-1 mark this year, but this scenario screams letdown.
New coach Jeff Tedford already has made a positive impact at Fresno State, which had zero wins last season against FBS opponents. The Bulldogs are 4-2 and well on their way to regaining respectability. Even so, San Diego State is a major step up in competition from the San Jose States and Nevadas of the world that Fresno State has feasted on thus far. The Aztecs will be looking to get back on track after last week's home loss to Boise State, and I expect the two-time MWC champs to flex their muscle against an overmatched opponent.
Washington State's long-awaited letdown came last week when it was a complete no-show in a 37-3 loss at Cal as a three-score favorite in a national prime-time game. It wouldn't surprise me to see a bit of a letdown Saturday against a Colorado team that has matched up well with the Cougars in recent meetings. The Buffaloes piled up 603 yards of total offense, rushing for 253, in last season's 38-24 win over Washington State. Colorado is on a 6-1 ATS road run against winning teams. Look for another cover Saturday.
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