R.J. White

Stat Geek

R.J. cashed in the world's most prestigious handicapping contest, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, in 2015. He tied for 39th out of a record 1,727 entries with a 51-32-2 record on NFL picks. R.J. has been with CBS Sports for six years as a writer and editor and previously contributed to FanHouse, FanDuel, Razzball and the Fantasy Cafe. R.J. has many years of experience analyzing NFL statistics and trends, beginning with Super Bowl XXV. For R.J. White media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

43-24-2 LAST 69 NFL PICKS | +1617

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Baltimore @ Minnesota

Tennessee -7.5TEN -7.5

Indianapolis 22 @ Tennessee 36
10/16
IND 22 @ TEN 36
10/16
WIN
Sun 10/15

If history tells us anything, it's that the Colts are going to beat the Titans on Monday, just like they've done in the last 11 meetings (and in 16 of the last 17 meetings) between these two teams. But that trend overlooks one simple counterargument: the Colts suck this year. They sport an abysmal negative-1.2 yards per play differential on the season, well behind the Titans' total and that of most other teams. If Marcus Mariota plays, and reports suggest he will, this line should be at least -10, even at less than 100 percent. The Colts are a bad team that's been lit up outside of Indy, where they've played close games against three other terrible teams.

43-24-2 in last 69 NFL picks | +1617

UNDER 50.5UNDER 50.5

L.A. Chargers 17 @ Oakland 16
10/15
LAC 17 @ OAK 16
10/15
WIN
Sat 10/14

I'm all over the Under on this matchup. The Raiders should look to pound the ball as much as possible and not overexpose Derek Carr to the Chargers' pass rush. The poor air quality, while not being a common situation in handicapping, would seem to have a limiting effect on the scoring as well (I don't expect many big plays in the second half). Then throw in that a 50.5 total would've been Under in nine of the 10 games these teams have played this year, and it seems like this number is more about perception than production.

43-24-2 in last 69 NFL picks | +1617

L.A. Chargers +3.5LAC +3.5

L.A. Chargers 17 @ Oakland 16
10/15
LAC 17 @ OAK 16
10/15
WIN
Sat 10/14

The Chargers finally got the monkey off their back last week, and they have a good chance to make it two wins in a row in this divisional matchup. Oakland gets back Derek Carr, but how healthy will he be in his first game back? The Raiders also have to worry about facing the Chiefs on Thursday night the following week. The Chargers should be able to throw the ball all over this weak secondary. I also like the potential for a backdoor cover if we need one here. Note that the Raiders have won by more than three in this matchup just twice in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Grab the hook.

43-24-2 in last 69 NFL picks | +1617

L.A. Rams +2.5LAR +2.5

L.A. Rams 27 @ Jacksonville 17
10/15
LAR 27 @ JAC 17
10/15
WIN
Fri 10/13

These two teams are coming off incredibly different performances. The Rams probably should have beaten the Seahawks in the final seconds despite turning the ball over five times, including three lost fumbles. Conversely, the Jaguars were gift-wrapped a road win over the Steelers thanks to five interceptions, including several on ricochets, yet they only managed 82 net yards passing in the blowout win. Consider this a course correction for both teams. The Rams are clearly the more talented team to me, and the Jags don't have a typical three-point home-field advantage. I love getting points against Blake Bortles, so I'm all over this one.

43-24-2 in last 69 NFL picks | +1617

Arizona +1.5ARI +1.5

Tampa Bay 33 @ Arizona 38
10/15
TB 33 @ ARI 38
10/15
WIN
Fri 10/13

Taking the Cardinals seems like a terrible idea considering how bad they've looked this year. In fact, they're 0-5 against the spread. But the Bucs have also failed to cover their last three games, and they remain incredibly banged up on defense, with Kwon Alexander still out, Lavonte David and Robert Ayers questionable and a cluster of injuries at safety. The Cardinals can throw the ball around, and that's helped them post an average yards-per-play differential despite their lack of a running game. They've also fared well against the run, and I like them to slow down Jameis Winston away from Tampa.

43-24-2 in last 69 NFL picks | +1617

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