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Insider: Separating freaky from reality in wacky start

 

I know, I know. I just assumed Pope Benedict XVI was going to include Detroit on his United States itinerary, too. At the very least, if I'm the Tigers, I offer Dontrelle Willis to the Yankees in exchange for the Pope saying Mass in Comerica Park instead of Yankee Stadium. And the Tigers, now winners of two in a row, are authors of only one of baseball's most fascinating early-season trends. ...

David Ortiz starts 5-for-52: Time was, the mere thought of Big Papi sitting out a game against the New York Yankees would have been more ridiculous than the notion of Ted Williams' head frozen in Arizona. But there he was -- Ortiz, not Teddy Ballgame -- frozen in the Boston dugout Sunday night, the latest installment of the Red Sox-Yankees going on without him.

Big Papi received a day off for his early-season swoon. (Getty Images)  
Big Papi received a day off for his early-season swoon. (Getty Images)  
Amazingly, this week started with the perennial Most Valuable Player candidate owning the lowest batting average in the majors among all qualifiers --.070 (3-for-43), which is what got him a day off Sunday. He was slugging .140. A buck forty! This with two good knees -- he underwent surgery on his right knee after, essentially on one leg last season, hitting .332 with 35 homers and 117 RBI.

To Boston skipper Terry Francona, it had become obvious that Ortiz needed a mental break. Papi, who takes a far more cerebral approach than he's ever given credit for -- this is not a guy who simply steps in and slugs away -- agreed.

One opposing pitcher who is very familiar with Ortiz said he hasn't seen anything drastically different so far this year. Ortiz has swung at a few first pitches, but they've been fastballs down the pipe. Ortiz remains very disciplined and hasn't been lured to swing at offerings out of the strike zone. Our pitcher, who requested anonymity, does add that he's seen umpires call some borderline pitches strikes that in the past have gone in Ortiz's favor.

Verdict: Ortiz starts hitting again, just as sure as they cue up Neil Diamond's Sweet Caroline again and again over the Fenway Park sound system. As noticeable as Big Papi's early season funk is, things also get magnified at this time of year. Remember Derek Jeter going 0-for-32 in April, 2004? Jeter was hitting .189 into May then and still finished at .292. Ortiz flared two opposite-field singles Monday in Cleveland then poked another single to right on Tuesday. Sometimes the little knocks are all it takes to get a big guy going.

Prince Fielder, 0 homers after slamming 50 last year: This might be the worst season-opening scenario for both Fielder and People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals. The big hunk of man goes vegetarian over the winter and comes back with less muscle?

Let's just say that Fielder was conscious enough of the homers/diet relationship that after he hit his first homer this spring -- and that took awhile -- he was teasing teammates in the dugout: "See boys, I can still hit 'em even without meat." Then, when both Fielder and 2007 Rookie of the Year Ryan Braun started slowly, the Dynamic Duo visited Brewers manager Ned Yost before Sunday's game and requested to be flip-flopped in the lineup.

Yost complied, moving Fielder to fourth and Braun to third. Fielder doesn't have a homer in 55 plate appearances, he's hitting only .222 (compared with .288 last year) and is slugging only .289 (.618 last year).

Verdict: Even if he has switched to Boca Burgers, Fielder's power isn't gone -- but don't look for 50 again this season after this start. And give the guy a break: At 23, Fielder last summer became the youngest player ever to hit 50 or more in a season. With Braun aboard for a full season, pitchers are going to tread very lightly through the heart of this order. The Cardinals walked him four times Tuesday night.

Fielder's 50 last year came in 702 plate appearances, an average of one homer every 14.04 times he stepped in the batter's box. Even if he starts thumping them at that pace again tomorrow, assuming another 702 plate appearances this season, he'll need to start hitting one homer every 12.94 plate appearances the rest of the way.

The Tigers aren't even the team of 2008, let alone Team of Century: Memo to Pope Benedict XVI: Are you sure you can't at least have the pilot fly the Air Pope plane over Detroit and sprinkle Holy Water over the ballpark on your way back to Rome?

Verdict: The most incredible statistic in a young season full of them might be this: That this fearsome Tigers lineup already has been shut out four times after suffering shutouts only three times all of last season. Now, after taking a moment to let that settle in, forget it.

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Talk Back
Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 25, 2006

April 17, 2008 9:16 am
Miller, your article is dated 4/16, which was Wednesday.  You say the Royals are in first place.  As of the this morning, the White Sox are in first place by one half game.  Both teams played Wednesday and won, which means heading into action on Wednesday, the White Sox were in first place.

Great, a columnist that doesn't even read the standings.  He'd ra
...(more)
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Dec 27, 2007

April 16, 2008 4:36 pm
Prince needs to return to his regular diet.  There can be nothing better than a nice steak to get the home run juices flowing.  Going from meat to no meat has got to affect a guy.  Veggie burgers are for singles hitters.
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Dec 27, 2007

April 16, 2008 4:36 pm
Prince needs to return to his regular diet.  There can be nothing better than a nice steak to get the home run juices flowing.  Going from meat to no meat has got to affect a guy.  Veggie burgers are for singles hitters.
Reputation:85
Level:All-Star
Since:Dec 17, 2006

April 16, 2008 4:56 pm
Who saw this coming....oh yeah everyone did. Texas hasnt been able to pitch for like 20 years, and are seemingly always rebuilding....Baltimore should look to them as a method of not rebuilding....Congrats Texas on your Hamilton trade....its not like you needed pitching or anything
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 23, 2006

April 16, 2008 12:05 pm

I'ts Florida's Mike Jacobs.

Come on, man, do your job.

Reputation:94
Level:All-Star
Since:Jan 8, 2008

April 17, 2008 6:35 pm
Cleveland Rocks Sucks...

Its fun to see the Indians get destroyed by the Tigers and the Pistons beat the Cavs...
Reputation:94
Level:All-Star
Since:Sep 5, 2006

April 16, 2008 1:06 pm

Every time I read one of these so called MLB analysis articles its the same thing.  The NL Central is soooo weak and anyone can win it blah, blah, blah.  Have these idiots not seen the Brewers or the Cubs play yet?  The Brewers took 2 of 3 from the #1 power raked overrated NY Mets at Shea and the next power rankings had the CBS sportsline beloved Mets ranked in front of them.&nbs ...(more)

Reputation:94
Level:All-Star
Since:Nov 27, 2007

April 16, 2008 4:41 pm
as you critize someone on the internet at 12:00 on a wednesday... where do you work?
Reputation:74
Level:Pro
Since:Jan 27, 2007

April 16, 2008 8:10 pm
As a long time veteran of fantasy baseball, I have seen the sophmore slump more often than not. It's probably a combination of the league catching up to a player, finding their weakness and the player struggling because their whole life they excelled without a problem. Also, many times these first year prodigys get full of themselves and figure they are all that when in reality, they have to work ...(more)
Reputation:92
Level:All-Star
Since:Mar 3, 2008

April 16, 2008 6:51 pm
(POLL) When will Prince fielder start hitting, or will he stay this way?

Reputation:92
Level:All-Star
Since:Oct 3, 2006

April 16, 2008 8:16 pm
when I checked the MLB Team ERA leaders, who ya suppose was #1?
WOW! That's right, the San Diego Padres.
Miller can chirp all he wants about the poor starts from other expected leaders, (individuals currently offensively sluggish or teams off to a poor start) but regardless of Arizona being a chic pick to do well this season, I'll stick with my Pads.
It's always g
...(more)
Reputation:86
Level:All-Star
Since:Feb 28, 2008

April 17, 2008 11:19 am

I was a little bit upset when the Braves traded Andruw Jones but I really was getting tired of his strikeouts and lackluster performances at the plate. He is still awesome in the field but not the guy who hit all those homers a few years back. Good trade Braves! Nice sign Dodgers! LOL

Reputation:90
Level:All-Star
Since:Nov 21, 2007

April 17, 2008 12:49 pm

 

"They've got a lot of young talent," Angels starter Jered Weaver said about the Royals. "They're not the same team they have been in the past." This is a young team with a ton of talent that is only going to get better.  If you sleep on them and do not bring your "A" game, th ...(more)
 
 
 
 
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