Since taking over in 2009 at Marshall, Doc Holliday is 4-0 straight-up in bowl games. He previously worked 22 bowls as an assistant coach. Meaning, he knows how to prepare a squad for a postseason encounter, as opposed to recent C-State staffs. The Rams have covered in just two of their past seven bowl outings, and existing coach Mike Bobo is 0-2 outright.
2-1-0 in last 3 CFB ATS picks | +95
Fear the Broncos, particularly if you are a Pac-12 team. Boise has bumped off foes from the conference in the last three Las Vegas meetings. Coach Bryan Harsin is 4-1 straight-up against Pac-12 opponents dating to his days as offensive coordinator. While Oregon QB Justin Herbert is back from an ankle injury, he won?t be handing off to top RB Royce Freeman, who elected to bypass the game. Oregon also is dealing with the departure of head coach Willie Taggart for Florida State as well as a 2-5-1 recent ATS record when stepping outside of its league.
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- The situational factors seem to favor Boise State in the Las Vegas Bowl. Oregon could be in a letdown spot after former coach Willie Taggart pulled a one-and-done and moved on to Florida State. The Ducks also will struggle in the run game without Royce Freeman, who had 1,475 yards and 16 touchdowns this year. Freeman is sitting out to avoid potential injury. Boise State still has a deficit in firepower, but I expect its solid defense to keep this a one-score game.
3-1-0 in last 4 CFB ATS picks | +197
CAMELLIA BOWL (Montgomery, Ala.) -- It's been a disappointing season in Murfreesboro for the Blue Raiders, but it will end on a high note with a big win over the Red Wolves in the Camellia Bowl. Middle Tennessee is in good hands with quarterback Brent Stockstill fully healthy, and closed the season 3-1 after he returned from a collarbone injury that cost him six games in the middle of the season. He threw for 10 touchdowns and only three picks over the final four games of the season, and will light up a Red Wolves passing defense that is 91st in the nation in pass defense (242.3 YPG) to win it outright.
4-2-0 in last 6 CFB ATS picks | +195
NEW ORLEANS BOWL (New Orleans, La.) -- Give me the Trojans to top the Mean Green in the New Orleans Bowl. Nothing against what was a fantastic season for North Texas, but Troy is a fringe Top 25 team this year and will cap it off with its 11th win of the year. Running back Jordan Chunn has been solid for Troy (10 TDs) and Brandon Silvers has been effective in the passing game, but this game will be decided when the Trojans are on defense. The Mean Green passing attack is solid (291 YPG), but Troy's ball-hawking secondary (15 picks) will make a couple of big plays to put it away.
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