Kent State has been a better team at home this year than on the road, but it's facing a Toledo team that needs one more win to become bowl eligible. The Flashes don't have much to play for themselves, and have one of the worst offenses and defenses in the country according to advanced metrics like S&P+. Take the Rockets to bounce back from last week's loss to Northern Illinois.

Toledo has covered in five of the last seven games in this series and has had a strong year. The Rockets had outscored their previous two opponents, 96-37, before getting drubbed at Northern Illinois. Still, Toledo has the better offense, better defense and stronger quarterback in Eli Peters. My projections show the Rockets beating the Golden Flashes 61 percent of the time by an average of three touchdowns. Back the Rockets.