Perfectly understandable to see this line climb. There is no weaker team the FBS than UConn, and USF is undefeated straight-up. Yet, an ATS triumph is within reach against a team that takes substandard opposition lightly. The Bulls beat Tulsa last week by a point as 10-point favorites and allowed UMass to ring up 42 on them two Saturdays ago. The week before, they downed East Carolina by seven despite being picked by 20. The evening kickoff under cooler temperatures mitigates USF’s climate advantage at home.

Nothing seems to be going right for the Huskies this season. They've come out flat defensively in every contest. After last week's scare against Tulsa, you should expect South Florida to avoid the type of slow start that nearly cost them their unblemished record. Where the Bulls do damage is with their offensive tempo. They play with a certain level of controlled aggressiveness that keeps a defense on its heels. I feel as though the Huskies are about two years away from becoming a factor in the AAC, but they'll run into a green and gold buzz saw this weekend down in Tampa.