Betting against Alabama is never fun, but there is value in this number. My simulations make Alabama -32 favorites against an average team at a neutral site. This isn't a neutral site, but this isn't an average team. My simulations make Alabama -23 home favorites. It's not going to be a fun sweat, but I'm taking the points with the Aggies and looking for a late cover on the big number.

Alabama is a juggernaut. You know it. I know it. Everybody knows it. And because everybody knows it, I think this line is off. Yes, Alabama is better than Texas A&M, but it's not 26 points better.