OUTBACK BOWL (Tampa) -- This is one of those rule-of-thumb games. Grab an underdog receiving more than a touchdown when the ultra-low total — 42, in this case — cries out for a defensive battle. South Carolina is a so-so New Year’s Day bowler whose offense was so immobile in the regular season that its coordinator was fired. The Gamecocks cannot drop much lower than their average in points (98th) and yards (108th). But Michigan is not appreciably better with a No. 84 scoring rank, just 1.7 ppg above the ‘Cocks. The Wolverines move in slow-motion, having not completed one pass for 50-plus yards all season. No WR enjoyed a 100-yard day. Carolina was under in eight of 11 games this season with an assigned total, and this figure suggests a winning score of about 24. Any decent ‘dog can stay within a TD.