The line shift has created value on Auburn, as we go from having to lay a field goal to getting a small number of points. The move centers around the injury problems of Auburn's playmakers led by RB Kerryon Johnson, who is a game-time decision. I expect Johnson to play, but, regardless, the difference in the first meeting with Georgia was an Auburn defense that held Nick Chubb and Sony Michel to 38 combined yards on 20 carries. Look for the Tigers to get the better of the Bulldogs again Saturday.

Is it difficult to win a rematch after just a couple weeks in football? Yes, absolutely. College football? Even tougher. But Auburn did not just beat Georgia on Nov. 11; the Tigers crushed the Dawgs 40-17. Granted, that game was at home and this one is in a less-than-neutral site in Atlanta, but I don’t think that gives Georgia the edge it needs. Auburn is better through the air and equally efficient on the ground with Kerryon Johnson. Him leaving the game early would hurt, but you’re still asking a now-experienced freshman quarterback in Jake Fromm to beat a Kevin Steele defense in a title game. The Tigers should win this game by four or more. The odds are not good enough to take this straight up as opposed to getting the minor cushion.

I don't agree with the line movement in this game that has made Auburn the underdog. My simulations make the Tigers -2.5 favorites on a neutral field. Take the points!

A few weeks ago, Auburn routed a then-undefeated Georgia team in one of the season's more impressive performances. The surging Tigers followed it up with a double-figure win over top-ranked Alabama last week. The winner of this SEC title game is practically guaranteed a spot in the four-team playoff. Auburn might be playing better than any team in the country right now, and my simulations have the Tigers winning straight up at least 60 percent of the time. Let's play Auburn on the money line Saturday.

What I love about rematch games is that you find out a lot about the coaching staff and the adjustments made. The biggest adjustment the Bulldogs will have to make is in the passing game. Conversely, that’s where Auburn has experienced significant growth since the last meeting.

Three weeks ago Georgia was a 2.5-point favorite at Auburn but Auburn won impressively and then went on to beat Alabama in the Iron Bowl. My feeling is that these two teams are very equal. They both have outstanding rushing games; I have Georgia rushing for 18 more yards per game. And both own solid passing games; I have Auburn gaining 30 more passing yards. Both defenses are great at stopping the run and pass. Georgia will be a vastly different team this time around and Auburn is coming off basically its Super Bowl. Grab the points.

Auburn gave Georgia an eye-opening experience on Nov. 11 with a 40-17 home win, and while I don't see the margin of victory as big, I still see Auburn having too many edges in this spot. I think this is a situation where Georgia's QB hurts them when trying to make the big play to keep up with Auburn's offense. Auburn has been strong through the air and on the ground. They were Georgia's toughest opponent on the schedule back then and the mismatches still apply. War Eagle, Auburn wins and covers.