In a desperate and oddly timed move, Texas Tech has switched QBs for its regular-season finale. Nic Shimonek was not exactly tearing it up — the Red Raiders were limited to three points last Saturday by TCU — but McLane Carter has played so little that his career stat line shows nine pass attempts. He must decipher the Big 12’s best defense besides TCU’s. Collective trends make a strong case for Texas, which is 8-3 ATS at home going back to the 2016 season and 6-1 ATS in recent matchups with Tech. Best of all, the spread has shrunk from 11 for no good reason.