Look for Minnesota to support the oddsmakers' touchdown value here off its downgraded 2-5 conference record. Grab the Gophers.

Northwestern hosts Minnesota in Big 12 action. Despite dropping five of their last seven games, my simulations are projecting an upset win for the Gophers in Evanston. Minnesota, who thumped Nebraska by 33 points on Saturday, is just 4-5 against the spread this season, but they're a surprising 5-1-4 in their last 10 road games against foes with a winning record. The Wildcats, riding a five-game winning streak -- with three of those victories coming in overtime -- are a perfect 5-0 against the spread overall in their last five, but expect that streak to snap on Saturday.