Northwestern is playing some great ball during its four-game cover streak and QB Clayton Thorson has been a big reason why, throwing for 10 TDs and only two interceptions. The Wildcats gave Ohio State a scare last week with an underrated defense and have road wins at Michigan State and Iowa during their 4-0 ATS run. Wisconsin's defense is going to be as strong as ever, but this has the feel of a 13-10 game and I could see Thorson making the plays needed late to get the win. Also, the home team is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

Northwestern has won and covered the past two meetings, and now the Wildcats are facing a Wisconsin team that might be worn down after facing Nebraska, Iowa, Ohio State, Michigan and Michigan State in the past six weeks. Grab the points with the pesky Wildcats.

Fresh off their near-miss against Ohio State, the Wildcats host a Wisconsin team also coming off a grueling affair. Northwestern is on a four-game ATS win streak and has covered its last seven home meetings with the Badgers. My projections have Northwestern winning outright 52 percent of the time and covering 66 percent of the time.