The Gators rank second nationally in scoring defense and total yards allowed, and I think they'll put forth a highly motivated effort given their shot at the College Football Playoff. (They're currently 11th in the rankings). Don't think the Razorbacks fixed their problems over the bye. They've given up at least 30 points in every SEC game.

The Gators are winning in 70 percent of my simulations, making this a moneyline play for me. Florida has allowed an average of 10 points over its last three games, all wins, and I think the Gators will hold Arkansas under 20 points en route to victory. The Razorbacks have never beaten Florida since joining the SEC in 1992.