Will the wheels continue to fall off for Oregon? The Ducks will face the best QB they've seen this season in Cal's Davis Webb. But the Golden Bears' abysmal defense will come into play against a still speedy and potent Oregon team.

Look for a lot of points in this one. Neither team can stop the run. The question is, Which team will be more committed to its ground attack? We know Cal has a top QB in Davis Webb, so the Golden Bears may be inclined to throw a bit more than they should. Grab the points as the Ducks steal one on the road.

The price has hit rock bottom on the downtrodden Ducks, who have lost four straight. The perennial Pac-12 power has looked overmatched and outcoached and is coming perhaps the most embarrassing loss in program history when it was smashed 70-21 by rival Washington. Even so, Oregon is coming off a bye and has a chance to get well against a marginal California club it has dominated in recent matchups. My simulations show the Ducks winning this 54 percent of the time, so there’s big value on them as a field-goal underdog.