The Bobcats are averaging over 16 more points and 100 more yards of total offense than the RedHawks yet find themselves as small road favorites in this MAC matchup. I see a lot of value on Ohio as the superior team; Miami should be a much bigger underdog. My simulations show the Bobcats winning with a projected score of 31-18 and covering the spread 70 percent of the time.

Bobcats QB Greg Windham has done a great job of protecting the football and running the spread option attack. I look for him to keep Ohio's offense on the field, converting third downs. The RedHawks can spread the ball around too, and attack deep, but their biggest weakness is protecting the QB. That will really hurt them in this spot. Look for Ohio to pull away and cover in this MAC matchup.