Last week, New Mexico State lost to Troy in beat-down fashion. This week, it faces a UL-Lafayette team that oddsmakers can't get right. Offensively, the Cajuns have turned the ball over at an alarming rate, and quarterback Anthony Jennings seems a bit lost on the field. Frankly, their defense has kept them in games but that will be a tough task against a New Mexico State offense that can spread the football around. Grab the value here on the home dog.

The Aggies have been without their tremendous tailback, Larry Rose III, virtually all season, and they can’t move the ball with consistency nor stop anybody from doing so. The Ragin' Cajuns have one of the most dynamic RBs in the nation in Elijah McGuire, a defense that held Tulane to zero third-down conversions last week and an improving passing game. Look for Louisiana-Lafayette to pull away in the second half and cover.